BCMoore Rankings - NCAA Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
pre-game predict = prediction is based on information known before the game is played.
current predict = prediction is based on current information.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Incarnate Word
Class: 1B Class Rank: 44 Overall: (2-4) Overall Strength = 145.76
Conference: Southland Conference Record: (0-2) | District: 1B-01 Record: (2-3)
pre-game current
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk (W-L) Opponent Resid M Predict Predict
1 08/23/2025 Away L * * 128.14 6 20 1B 62 (1-5) Nicholls St -17.62 8.06 3.62
2 08/30/2025 Home W * 145.24 31 21 1B 59 (2-4) Eastern Washington -0.52 -6.69 10.52
3 09/13/2025 Away L 140.81 20 48 1A 90 (2-3) Texas-San Antonio -4.95 -14.81 -23.05
4 09/20/2025 Away L * 146.05 23 31 1B 31 (4-2) Northern Arizona 0.29 -13.27 -8.29
5 09/27/2025 Home W * 179.08 38 7 1B 40 (3-3) Abilene Christian 33.32 -10.92 -2.32
6 10/04/2025 Home L * * 135.23 17 31 1B 20 (4-2) Stephen F. Austin -10.53 -2.28 -3.47
7 10/18/2025 Home * * 1B 76 (1-4) East Texas A&M 10.40
8 10/25/2025 Neutral * * 1B 39 (5-1) Texas-Rio Grande Val -2.35
9 11/01/2025 Home * * 1B 38 (4-1) Lamar -0.37
10 11/08/2025 Away * * 1B 120 (1-4) Northwestern St 23.48
11 11/15/2025 Home * * 1B 11 (4-2) SE Louisiana -12.09
12 11/22/2025 Away * * 1B 83 (1-4) Houston Christian 8.45
Averages 145.76 22.5 26.3
Best game: 179.08 = 31 point win over Abilene Christian
Worst game: 128.14 = 14 point loss to Nicholls St
Team stdev: 17.64